Bill Bradley '65's campaign announced yesterday that the candidate will hold a press conference this morning to "discuss the future of his presidential campaign," prompting experts to conclude that the candidate is set to declare his withdrawal from the race.
Bradley's dismal finish in Super Tuesday's primaries — after defeats in Iowa, New Hampshire and Washington — virtually guaranteed the candidate's imminent withdrawal. No definite announcement has been made, however, and the campaign would not elaborate yesterday on Bradley's planned statement.
University politics professor Fred Greenstein seemed certain that the candidate would withdraw. Citing unnamed sources within Bradley's campaign, national news sources predicted the same.
Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) is also expected to drop out of the running today, raising the possibility that the field of major candidates might narrow by the end of the week to two: Vice President Al Gore and Texas Gov. George W. Bush.
The vice president's candidacy will be strengthened by these withdrawals, according to Greenstein.
If Bradley leaves the race, most voters that supported the Democratic challenger will shift to Gore, Greenstein said. "Polls say that Bradley supporters are comfortable with Gore [and] wouldn't have any difficulty going across," he added.
Gore also will likely pick up the support of some Independent and Democratic voters who had supported McCain, according to Greenstein. In the open primaries, where voters can vote for candidates from either party, "McCain's great support . . . was among Independents and the small number of Democratic crossovers," Greenstein said.
These voters are not necessarily going to support Bush if his Republican opponent withdraws, Greenstein added, and said they may vote for Gore or not vote at all in the general election.
Voter turnout was "extraordinarily high" in many primaries, Greenstein noted, adding that this was in part a result of the enthusiasm for McCain's campaign.
Greenstein also said Gore will emerge from the primary battles much stronger than his likely Republican opponent, Bush.
"Gore comes out of the primaries strong, with the party pretty unified," Greenstein said. "Bush needs to do a lot of fence mending."
Both candidates face a long battle ahead, with eight months of head-to-head campaigning before the general election in November.
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