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Ever wonder how statisticians come up with metrics like win probability? In the new series of articles “Beyond the Numbers,” we take a look at some of the most popular and recent analytic trends in the sporting world. We begin with win probability and how once-in-a-generation sporting outcomes seem to occur much more often than we predict.
In one of the busiest weeks any Princeton sports team has had this year, the women's tennis team competed in two separate tournaments last week. Half the team traveled to the midwest to compete against 31 other schools in the Milwaukee Tennis Classic. Meanwhile, the other half stayed closer to home, competing in the Cissie Leary Invitational hosted by Penn.
The Tigers have climbed to No. 5 in the nation based on the latest NCAA poll. They proved why they deserve to remain among the nation's best after dominating Dartmouth to open Ivy League play with a win. While the Big Green continue to search for answers against the Orange and Black, the Tigers set their sights on Yale.
Senior Sophia Tornetta scored the first goal for the Tigers en route to their 3–0 victory over Dartmouth
Junior Tiffany Chen advanced to the final day of action at the Cissie Levy Invitational before falling to Penn's Mimi Levine.
“I thought John's deep balls were really beautifully thrown, and [the receivers] did a great job finishing them [for touchdowns],” said head coach Bob Surace '90.
Weekend Review, Sept. 23
At first glance, Princeton football does not appear to be in a great position heading into the 2018 season. Not only are the Tigers coming off an underwhelming, second-to-last finish in the 2017 Ivy League standings, but they also graduated quarterback Chad Kanoff, now playing in the NFL for the Arizona Cardinals, who in 2017 indisputably posted the most impressive season by a quarterback in Princeton history. Further examination, however, reveals the Tigers have good reason for optimism.
In November 2017, the Princeton women’s volleyball team won its third straight Ivy League Championship. While it was initially tied with Yale for the Ivy League title, a tiebreaker game allowed the Tigers to clinch the outright title and advance to the NCAA tournament, where they fell to Iowa State in three sets. Coming off of an 18–8 overall and 10–4 conference record, the Tigers are hungry for the same success.
The men’s soccer team had a tough start to the 2018 season, losing three out of its first four games. These losses were made especially tough given Princeton’s strong performances in these matches. The Tigers outshot Bradley 15–6 in their 2–1 loss and had five shots in their 1–0 defeat at the hands of Monmouth.
Princeton University men's soccer vs. Boston University, Princeton, NJ, September 15, 2018.
Dustin Litvak was named the new head coach of the men's water polo team this past June, launching a new era in the team's program history.
The women’s field hockey team, currently 5–3 for the fall season, hopes to clinch the Ivy League Championship title and advance deep into the NCAA tournament.
With the 2018 season already underway, the No. 25 women’s soccer team (5–2–1) is looking to repeat last year’s Ivy League and NCAA success. With six new team members and a successful preseason, the Tigers are set to remain champions for a second year in a row.
Whether it was fourth-ranked Duke, 13th-ranked Delaware, or even unranked Monmouth, the Tigers’ field hockey team (5–3 overall) has been able to defend its home field throughout the early part of the season. But after their double-overtime thriller against No. 3 Maryland, the fifth-ranked Tigers no longer have a perfect record at home.
Tonight, the men’s soccer team will take the short trip over to Lawrenceville, New Jersey, to take on its neighbor Rider (12–5–2 overall, 6–2–2 conference) at 7 p.m. Princeton (3–3 overall) has rebounded after a slow start to its season, winning its last two games at its temporary home field of Sherrerd Field at Class of 1952 Stadium, traditionally the lacrosse field. Both the men’s and women’s soccer teams have been moved there from Myslik Field at Roberts Stadium for the last week due to the heavy rain Princeton got the weekend of Sept. 8.